Relative vs. Absolute Risk

Why '18% higher' isn't scary

Relative vs. Absolute Risk, explained simply

'Doubles your risk' could mean 1 in a million to 2 in a million. Always ask: out of how many?

Example

If lifetime risk of a disease is 5% and a habit raises it 18%, the new risk is about 5.9% — under 1 extra case per 100 people.

Evidence & sources

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General education only, not medical advice. Drafted Oct 2026 · pending qualified expert review.